Some info on Washington State…
- By GaryTD
- Trojan Talk
- 6 Replies
WSU returns only 4 starters on offense and 6 on defense from 2018. They lost two of their top 3 rushers (James Williams is the best returner -395 yards last year), lost both QBs Luke Falk and unfortunately backup Tyler Hilinski. and their top 2 receivers, plus 3 OL and their kicker. QB Minshew is an experienced transfer from East Carolina. But they are 3-0 and Sagarin has WSU at #30 with a low Strength of Schedule of 135th toughest. USC is ranked 36 with a Strength of Schedule of 6th toughest. Recently WSU has been a danger, winning 2 of the last 3 after losing 8 in a row. They won one of those in their last game at the coliseum (2013) 10-7.
WSU: They beat Wyoming (2-2 this year, 8-4 last year) by 41-19. They beat SJSU by 31-0 (0-3, 2-11LY). And beat a Division 1-AA team In Eastern Washington (2-1, 7-4 LY) by 59-24. 17 of those points came after 3 turnovers by EW. The score was close 24-35 heading into Q4.
So far WSU looks like a typical Mike Leach team. They pass a lot, run only to change pace. Nearly 3 to 1 in pass vs. rush plays. They don't have a long passing game sticking to 10.2 yards per catch. And the run is 3.6 yards average against competition so far. But they have accomplished all that’s needed so far. One thing to look for is that they are not a great 3rd down conversion team at a mere 27% but so far they have a lot of 4th downs tries and converted 8 of 11 (73%).
On defense its tough to tell since the Passing game controls their Time of Possession. But they are smallish on DL so expect USC to pound the run. They dominated the first 2 teams but gave up about 400 yards to E Washington. In special teams they are better in punting , were abut the same as USC in KOs but McGrath is gone. However the return KOR and PR favors USC. WSU is heavily penalized (About 70 yards per game) as a team as well.
Forecast: USC 35 WSU 24. I originally had USC forecasted 45-24 but more in line with this score after looking into the teams. The SOS difference doesn’t allow for much cross comparisons.USC needs to put pressure on the QB, but can't afford as well to let the 10 yard a pop game succeed. I don’t believe this WSU team is explosive from what I have seen. The longest play was 26 yards (pass play) versus E. Washington. WSU is not the best team we will have played this year. We are the best team they will have faced so far.
WSU: They beat Wyoming (2-2 this year, 8-4 last year) by 41-19. They beat SJSU by 31-0 (0-3, 2-11LY). And beat a Division 1-AA team In Eastern Washington (2-1, 7-4 LY) by 59-24. 17 of those points came after 3 turnovers by EW. The score was close 24-35 heading into Q4.
So far WSU looks like a typical Mike Leach team. They pass a lot, run only to change pace. Nearly 3 to 1 in pass vs. rush plays. They don't have a long passing game sticking to 10.2 yards per catch. And the run is 3.6 yards average against competition so far. But they have accomplished all that’s needed so far. One thing to look for is that they are not a great 3rd down conversion team at a mere 27% but so far they have a lot of 4th downs tries and converted 8 of 11 (73%).
On defense its tough to tell since the Passing game controls their Time of Possession. But they are smallish on DL so expect USC to pound the run. They dominated the first 2 teams but gave up about 400 yards to E Washington. In special teams they are better in punting , were abut the same as USC in KOs but McGrath is gone. However the return KOR and PR favors USC. WSU is heavily penalized (About 70 yards per game) as a team as well.
Forecast: USC 35 WSU 24. I originally had USC forecasted 45-24 but more in line with this score after looking into the teams. The SOS difference doesn’t allow for much cross comparisons.USC needs to put pressure on the QB, but can't afford as well to let the 10 yard a pop game succeed. I don’t believe this WSU team is explosive from what I have seen. The longest play was 26 yards (pass play) versus E. Washington. WSU is not the best team we will have played this year. We are the best team they will have faced so far.