Everything pretty much boils down to Pennsylvania. Harris most likely wins Michigan & Wisconsin.
I would tell you that all Harris must do is perform one percentage point better than she’s doing right now in the RCP average in all of those big seven swing states — not exactly Mission: Impossible — and she would win Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada, while North Carolina would be a toss-up tie.
Harris doesn’t need North Carolina or Nevada.
I would tell you that all Harris must do is perform one percentage point better than she’s doing right now in the RCP average in all of those big seven swing states — not exactly Mission: Impossible — and she would win Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada, while North Carolina would be a toss-up tie.
Harris doesn’t need North Carolina or Nevada.