Texas: Texas lost at Maryland (4-8 last year) by 29-34. Texas had a 29-24 lead in the 3rd quarter. They beat Tulsa (2-10 last year). 28-21 after holding a 21-0 lead at the half. Tulsa missed 3 FGs.
USC: USC beat UNLV (5-7 last year) by 43-21 USC has a 19-14 lead at the end of Q3. They lost at Stanford (9-5 last year) 3-17.
Sagarin has USC ranked 27 with a Strength of Schedule of 24th toughest. He had Texas at 32 with a Strength of Schedule of 52nd toughest . His predictor scores it dead even, with the Texas Home advantage,
Even though USC has had that bad offensive game versus Stanford , Texas hasn’t been much better in 2 games scoring 57 points and giving up 55. USC scored 46 and gave up 24, On offense Texas QB Ehlinger has been better with 63.6 % complete, 7.58 ypatt, 4 TDs and 2 int (he was 11-7 last year). QB Daniels after that Stanford game is 53.6 % complete, 7.20 ypatt, 1 TD and 2 int. The more experienced Ehlinger gets the edge. But USC with its 3 headed hydra is better running and the receivers are about the same IMO. USC does have a much better third down conversion rate.
On defense a different story. USC has a lower scoring allowed defense, and is a better overall sack team despite none vs. Stanford. The Texas sack total is 0.5 per game…a lot different than Stanford.
In Special teams USC dominates on both the offense and defense sides. And Texas has not tried a FG while USC has popped 5 of 6.
Forecast: USC 24 Texas 21. USC needs to run like they did last week, despite the shutout (in TDs) they ran the ball well on first downs averaging 5.3 yards per run. The passing game let them down. USC has also faced the better competition. And USC has the better defense (better than last year) and knocked Bryce Love out for this week..
USC: USC beat UNLV (5-7 last year) by 43-21 USC has a 19-14 lead at the end of Q3. They lost at Stanford (9-5 last year) 3-17.
Sagarin has USC ranked 27 with a Strength of Schedule of 24th toughest. He had Texas at 32 with a Strength of Schedule of 52nd toughest . His predictor scores it dead even, with the Texas Home advantage,
Even though USC has had that bad offensive game versus Stanford , Texas hasn’t been much better in 2 games scoring 57 points and giving up 55. USC scored 46 and gave up 24, On offense Texas QB Ehlinger has been better with 63.6 % complete, 7.58 ypatt, 4 TDs and 2 int (he was 11-7 last year). QB Daniels after that Stanford game is 53.6 % complete, 7.20 ypatt, 1 TD and 2 int. The more experienced Ehlinger gets the edge. But USC with its 3 headed hydra is better running and the receivers are about the same IMO. USC does have a much better third down conversion rate.
On defense a different story. USC has a lower scoring allowed defense, and is a better overall sack team despite none vs. Stanford. The Texas sack total is 0.5 per game…a lot different than Stanford.
In Special teams USC dominates on both the offense and defense sides. And Texas has not tried a FG while USC has popped 5 of 6.
Forecast: USC 24 Texas 21. USC needs to run like they did last week, despite the shutout (in TDs) they ran the ball well on first downs averaging 5.3 yards per run. The passing game let them down. USC has also faced the better competition. And USC has the better defense (better than last year) and knocked Bryce Love out for this week..
