How good is USC this year….
- By GaryTD
- Trojan Talk
- 34 Replies
Where they are, and how good they might be.
PAC12 South division.
1 USC Last Year 11-3 all/ 8-1P12. Key Losses: Off- QBSam Darnold (R1),RB Ronald Jones III (R2), WR Dante Burnett. Def-DL Rasheem Green (R3), LB Uchenna Nwosu (R2), DB Chris Hawkins..Starter Losses: Offense: QB, RB, WR,OC. defense: OLB, DE, NT, SS, CB.
This year Ret Starters: O-7, D-6, Kicker &Punter. Projected by forecasters: #1PAC 12-South/ #18 Nationally,
Remember the days when USC struggled with 10 less scholarship per year and had no direct replacements for those leaving by end of eligibility or early NFL entry? And those games where USC used but 40 players,15 less than most opponents? And not using hard tackling in practice for fear of more injuries?. We have seen through end of sanctions and subsequent good recruiting have player depth pumped back up to normal again.
Phil Steele had 7 of 8 USC units in his top 30 Nationally: RB (#17), Rec (#6), OL (#9), DL (#30), LB (#3), DB (#3) and special teams (#12). And 7 of the 8 units are ranked in the top 1/3 of the PAC12. Tops among the PAC overall. The missing element is obviously QB Sam Darnold. Sam was the wild card leading terrific comebacks, but also the guy who last year had 13 interceptions and 10 (of the teams 14) fumbles lost. A few times these turnovers bunched up: against ND (2 TO), Ohio State (3 TO) and Texas (2 TO). But who now wins the QB role….looking back there was the battle of the Matts (Cassel and Leinart) . Both were without much game experience but had time in the system. And that worked out well. Then there was true Freshman Barkley, that didn’t. Now it's 2 guys in the system, and 1 guy who is really a senior in high school. So we see where the question among forecasters and pollsters lies. One major difference is that 2 USCQBs can run (Fink leads there) and the youngest is a phenom. I think one of the 2 in the system QBs (Fink, Sears) starts the season and that all 3 combined will play more this year than in past years.
The last sanction depleted class of incoming freshmen was in 2014 (we delayed the effect on scholies for 2 years though attempted re-negotiation) .That meant we saw its last effect at the senior level class in 2017. Now in 2018, the two deep is real with at least 2 players that could play that position well in case of injuries. The OL is experienced and deep, and should provide better protection (30 sacks last year vs. 12 the year before) That is also true on defense which may well be a top 5-10 unit nationally. Last year that meant 46 sacks, but the D leaked on long plays quite a few times, and hopefully the depth and experience fixes that. At a minimum our lines are returning 51 starts at OL, and 31 at DL. The DB unit features 41 starts. PK & P each started all 14 games and the major kick returners are back. It could be exciting there this year as Velus Jones looked like he would break a TD many times.
As to coaching, the staff is stable and in place for pretty much 2 1/2 years after 3 USC HCs in the prior 4 years. And USC has accomplished one hurdle…wining the PAC12 championship for the first time. We missed the golden ring of the 4 teams playoff where the PAC12 participated there but twice (Oregon and UW) in its 4 Year history. IMO, the PAC12 will get snubbed again this year until a real 6-8 team is place . I will leave it at that. Clay Helton is in his 4th year as HC. He is 27-10, 21-5 vs. PAC12, and 16-0 at home. 21-5 vs. the PAC-12, yet is ranked in the middle of the PAC12 coaching pack.
The schedule,, though only 4 home games with the PAC-12 , it actually lays out better than last year. There is a bye between Arizona and Colorado and it takes place nearly 1/2 way through the season (after game 5) As usual it seems the toughest run is early with back to back away games with Stanford and Texas. After that we have 5 home games and a bye thrown into the last 11 weeks. The Utah game is surrounded by Colorado and ASU. And ND is at our place at season's end. I'll be there screaming for revenge after the Slaughter in South Bend last year.
My forecast is 10-2. And winning the PAC-12 championship game.
PAC12 South division.
1 USC Last Year 11-3 all/ 8-1P12. Key Losses: Off- QBSam Darnold (R1),RB Ronald Jones III (R2), WR Dante Burnett. Def-DL Rasheem Green (R3), LB Uchenna Nwosu (R2), DB Chris Hawkins..Starter Losses: Offense: QB, RB, WR,OC. defense: OLB, DE, NT, SS, CB.
This year Ret Starters: O-7, D-6, Kicker &Punter. Projected by forecasters: #1PAC 12-South/ #18 Nationally,
Remember the days when USC struggled with 10 less scholarship per year and had no direct replacements for those leaving by end of eligibility or early NFL entry? And those games where USC used but 40 players,15 less than most opponents? And not using hard tackling in practice for fear of more injuries?. We have seen through end of sanctions and subsequent good recruiting have player depth pumped back up to normal again.
Phil Steele had 7 of 8 USC units in his top 30 Nationally: RB (#17), Rec (#6), OL (#9), DL (#30), LB (#3), DB (#3) and special teams (#12). And 7 of the 8 units are ranked in the top 1/3 of the PAC12. Tops among the PAC overall. The missing element is obviously QB Sam Darnold. Sam was the wild card leading terrific comebacks, but also the guy who last year had 13 interceptions and 10 (of the teams 14) fumbles lost. A few times these turnovers bunched up: against ND (2 TO), Ohio State (3 TO) and Texas (2 TO). But who now wins the QB role….looking back there was the battle of the Matts (Cassel and Leinart) . Both were without much game experience but had time in the system. And that worked out well. Then there was true Freshman Barkley, that didn’t. Now it's 2 guys in the system, and 1 guy who is really a senior in high school. So we see where the question among forecasters and pollsters lies. One major difference is that 2 USCQBs can run (Fink leads there) and the youngest is a phenom. I think one of the 2 in the system QBs (Fink, Sears) starts the season and that all 3 combined will play more this year than in past years.
The last sanction depleted class of incoming freshmen was in 2014 (we delayed the effect on scholies for 2 years though attempted re-negotiation) .That meant we saw its last effect at the senior level class in 2017. Now in 2018, the two deep is real with at least 2 players that could play that position well in case of injuries. The OL is experienced and deep, and should provide better protection (30 sacks last year vs. 12 the year before) That is also true on defense which may well be a top 5-10 unit nationally. Last year that meant 46 sacks, but the D leaked on long plays quite a few times, and hopefully the depth and experience fixes that. At a minimum our lines are returning 51 starts at OL, and 31 at DL. The DB unit features 41 starts. PK & P each started all 14 games and the major kick returners are back. It could be exciting there this year as Velus Jones looked like he would break a TD many times.
As to coaching, the staff is stable and in place for pretty much 2 1/2 years after 3 USC HCs in the prior 4 years. And USC has accomplished one hurdle…wining the PAC12 championship for the first time. We missed the golden ring of the 4 teams playoff where the PAC12 participated there but twice (Oregon and UW) in its 4 Year history. IMO, the PAC12 will get snubbed again this year until a real 6-8 team is place . I will leave it at that. Clay Helton is in his 4th year as HC. He is 27-10, 21-5 vs. PAC12, and 16-0 at home. 21-5 vs. the PAC-12, yet is ranked in the middle of the PAC12 coaching pack.
The schedule,, though only 4 home games with the PAC-12 , it actually lays out better than last year. There is a bye between Arizona and Colorado and it takes place nearly 1/2 way through the season (after game 5) As usual it seems the toughest run is early with back to back away games with Stanford and Texas. After that we have 5 home games and a bye thrown into the last 11 weeks. The Utah game is surrounded by Colorado and ASU. And ND is at our place at season's end. I'll be there screaming for revenge after the Slaughter in South Bend last year.
My forecast is 10-2. And winning the PAC-12 championship game.