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Recruiting Rivals Camp Series Los Angeles: Commitment predictions

Adam Gorney has commitment predictions from some of the top local prospects who came out to our Rivals LA camp last weekend -- including two USC picks:

My notes on SC’s 78-65 upset win over No. 5 Arizona

The University of Arizona (UA) was founded in 1885 in Tucson, the first university in Arizona Territory (AZ statehood 1892). Tucson hoped to receive the $100K appropriation for the territory’s mental hospital but was largely disappointed to instead receive the $25K appropriated for the university, viewed as the inferior prize. With no parties willing to provide land for the new institution, the citizens of Tucson prepared to return the money to the Territorial Legislature until two gamblers and a saloon keeper decided to donate 40 acres to the Board of Regents. Construction of Old Main, the campus’ first bldg (still used), began in 1887, classes met for first time in 1891 with 32 students. Because there were no high schools in Arizona Territory, the university maintained separate preparatory classes for the first 23 years of operation. In 1924 it was recognized by the Association of American Universities.

Today UA has 352 acres in Tucson and 8 other sites, has an enrollment of 49,471 (38,528 undergrad), a $1.2 B endowment, USN&WR No. 115 public school, WSJ No. 110

Famous alumni include Geraldo Rivera, John Hughes, Jerry Bruckheimer, Don Knotts, Kristen Wiig, Gary Shandling, Craig T. Nelson, Bob Baffert, Artie Moreno, Harvey Mason, Jr., NASCAR’s Kurt Busch, Annika Sorenstam, Lorena Ochoa, Rob Gronkowski, Jennie Finch, Savanah Guthrie, Katie Pavlich, Nicole Richie, US Senators- Barry Goldwater, Bob Dole, Dennis DeConcini, Paul Fannin

UA Athletics: 22 NCAA championships: 8 Softball, 4 Baseball, 3 Women’s Golf, 3 Synchronized Swimming, Men’s Basketball, Men’s Golf, Men’s Swimming & Diving, Women’s Swimming & Diving, Olympics 36 Gold medals, 24 Silver, 14 Bronze

Colors – Cardinal & navy, Nickname – Wildcats (since 1914 football game with Occidental College, where LA Times asserted “the Arizona men showed the fight of wildcats”), fight songs Fight! Wildcats! Fight! & Bear Down, Mascots – Wilbur & Wilma Wildcat, original mascot was a desert bobcat named ‘Rufus Arizona’ after university president Rufus B. Von Kleinschmidt, later USC president from 1921-47. His name once graced the Center for International and Public Affairs on campus, until removed in 2020 due to his support of eugenics. It was renamed for Native American alumnus Joseph Medicine Crow, who was awarded the Medal of Freedom in 2009 by Pres. Obama.

Basketball started 1904 (1924-980, .663), 1997 National Champions, 2001 runner-up, 4 Final Fours, 11 Elite Eights, 37 NCAA appearances, 28 Conf. championships (17 Pac -10/12), 9 conf. tournament championships. Naismith Memorial Basketball HOF – Lute Olson; 6 retired numbers: 10 – Mike Bibby, 22 – Jason Gardner, 25 – Steve Kerr, 31 – Jason Terry, 32 – Sean Elliott, 34 – Miles Simon; National COY – Lute Olson (2), Tommy Lloyd, Pac-12 COY Olson (7), Sean Miller (3), Lloyd; 8 1st Team AAs, 6 2nd Team; 77 NBA draft picks (27 1st rd, 27 2nd rd), 15 players have won 33 NBA Championships, 9 Current NBA players: Kadeem Allen, Deandre Ayton, Aaron Gordon, James Harden, Solomon Hill, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Andre Iguodala, Lauri Markkanen, TJ McConnell.

Winningest coaches: Lute Olson 589-188, .758, Fred Enke 509-324, .611, Sean Miller 302-109, .735

Current -Tommy Lloyd (3rd season) 81-16, .835, 2022 Sweet Sixteen, 2023 1st rd, 2022 Pac-12 COY and AP COY

Currently: 24-6 (15-4) W: Morgan St, #2 Duke, Southern U, Belmont, UT Arlington, Michigan St, Colgate, Wisconsin, Alabama, Cal 2, Colorado, Utah 2, USC, UCLA 2, Oregon 2, Stanford, ASU 2, UW; L: #3 Purdue, #14 Florida Atlantic, Stanford, WSU 2, OSU

All-time: UA leads 63-30, .677 (5-0 under Tommy Lloyd)

UA NET 4, KenPom 4, SC NET 99, KenPom 97

UA Scores: 90.3 ppg (No. 1) (+17.3) (No.1), 49.6% FG (No. 2), 37.7% 3FG, 8.0 3’s/g, 72.5% FT. Rebounds 43.1 pg (No. 1) (+11.1) (No. 1), Assists 19.1 pg (No.1), TOs 11.7 pg (+1.9) (No. 2), Steals 8.5 pg (No. 1), Blks 3.7 pg

UA Leaders:

Scoring: Caleb Love 19.3 ppg (Pac No. 4) (43.7% FG, 36.1% 3FG, 87.2% FT), Pelle Larsson 13.2 ppg (54.0% FG, 43.0% 3FG. 76.7% FT), Omar Ballo 13.0 ppg (63.6% FG, 0 3FG att, 50.6% FT), Keshad Johnson 11.7 ppg (52.9% FG, 36.0% 3FG, 73.0% FT), Kylan Boswell 10.4 ppg (42.3% FG, 40.5% 3FG, 77.1% FT)

Rebounding: Ballo 10.0 rpg (Pac No. 2), Johnson 5.9, Love 5.0, Assists - Boswell 3.7 apg, Larsson 3.7, Love 3.5; Steals – Boswell 1.3 stpg, Blks – Ballo 1.0

SC scores: 74.6 ppg (-0.2), 45.2% FG, 35.7% 3FG, 7.7 3’s/g, 68.9% FT, Rebs 34.3 rpg (-1.6), Assists 15.7 apg, TOs 12.6 pg (+0.4), 14.3 ppg/TO, Steals 7.2, Blks 5.2 (Pac No. 1)

SC Leaders

Scoring: Boogie 17.0 ppg (43.5% FG, 42.5% 3FG, 3.0 3’s/g (Pac No. 1), 72.4% FT), Collier 16.6 ppg (49.3% FG, 32.9% 3FG, 66.7% FT), Kobe 10.4 ppg (39.0% FG, 30.2% 3FG, 70.9% FT)

Rebounds: DJ 5.0 pg, Kobe 4.4, Josh 4.0, Assists – Collier 4.2 apg (Pac No. 6), Kobe 3.3, Boogie 3.0, Steals - Kobe 2.1 (Pac No. 2), Blks – Josh 2.5 (Pac No. 1)

Pregame

At Founder’s I spot ex-players Jacque Hill ’83 (PG, No. 5 in assists), walk-on G Chris Penrose ‘07 and for the first time this season, Clayton Olivier ’85 C of the team that beat UCLA in 4OT at the Sports Arena (Wayne Carlander starred with 38 pts). Olivier (then 6’10, 235 lbs, now 300+) was a Parade AA at Los Amigos HS in Fountain Valley (30.7 ppg), and a bitter rival of 6’8 Carlander from Ocean View HS. At SC Carlander was 2X All-Pac-10 and POY, Olivier was limited by foot injuries, but still had big moments. He was a target of opposing fans who yelled “Bozo” at the big redhead (for the younger crowd, Bozo was a famous clown created for children’s entertainment). Both went in the 1985 NBA draft 5th rd (Olivier - Spurs, Carlander - Clippers).

Capko is back as the Founder’s guest speaker for the 5th time this season. He compliments the large crowd and thanks us for coming to the last home game of the season and last Pac-12 game ever at Galen.

He says the team has been playing better and is still trying to build momentum for the conference tournament. It’s Senior night and Boogie, Josh, DJ and Zach Brooker will be honored pregame.

In Q&A, asked how we avoid another loss to UA (82-67 in Tucson) he said we played w/o Boogie & Isaiah, had 22 TOs, gave up 15 offensive rebs and 27 fastbreak pts –we are now full strength and will slow them down by rebounding better and taking care of the ball. In practice, they watched film of all the TOs and offensive rebs they gave up last game.

About recruiting, he said we signed a Top 15 HS class and after the season will hit the portal hard to fill needs and field a very competitive team next season. Talked about signees Trent Perry playing tonight for back 2 back state championships, Liam Campbell (Idaho) and Brody Kozlowski (Utah) also playing state championships. We are bringing in kids from winning programs that know what it takes to win.

With no more questions, he says “Thanks for sticking it out with us, you guys are the best! Fight On!”

The arena is filling fast to 8976 - impressive given students have started Spring break and many fans are in Vegas supporting our women’s bball team’s tournament run. Too many UA fans are here for my liking (guessing 35%, who will chant ‘U-of-A’ all game).

Courtside sit Lebron & Savanah James and daughter Zhuri. JMac (SC’s single season assists leader) and Tiffany Rodman are here.

The Game

SC brought energy and purpose from the start, playing efficiently on offense 46.4% FG, 3-9 3FG and tough on defense, holding AZ to 36.4% FG and 1-8 3FG for a 34-30 lead at half. Could they sustain the gain in the 2nd half? They could. They built their halftime lead from 4 pts to 16 with 1:56 left in the game and ended with a 78-65 victory.

UA was knocked out of rhythm by SC’s D which switched between man and zone and held them to a season low pt total. They made only 6 3’s and 11 FTs and were forced into 18 TOs. SC slowed them down and held their own on the glass – ONLY 4 fastbreak pts and 2 second chance pts!

UA’s largest lead was 5 and SC’s 16. SC led for 28:52, UA for 5:37 and it was tied for 5:31.

For the game:

UA shot 38.7% FG (24-62), 28.6% 3FG (6-21), 68.8% FT (11-16)
SC shot 49.1% FG (28-57), 33.3% 3FG (6-18), 88.9% FT (16-18)

UA was led by their xfer bigs Keshad Johnson and Omar Ballo with 17 pts each. Their guards were held below their averages. Johnson led with 5 asst and Ballo with a game-high 10 rebs.

SC was led by 19 each from Kobe (6-9 FGs, 1-3 3FG, 3 rebs, 4 asst, game high 6 steals - UA had only 3 stls!) and DJ (7-8 FG, 2-3 3FG, team high 7 rebs), and Collier with 16 pts, 5 asst, 4 rebs. Boogie didn’t shoot well 1-8 FGs, 5 pts but had 2 rebs, 3 asst, 2 stls. Bronny had 5 in a solid performance 2-3 FG, with a Lebron-esque steal and dunk and a long 3-ptr at the end of the half to put SC up 34-30. He finally performed well in front of his family.

Collier’s 105 assists put him 10th on the all-time freshman list, despite missing 6 games. Boogie’s 3 gave him 219, moving him to 5th behind Lodrick Stewart.

SC improved to 14-17 (8-12) and Arizona fell to 24-7 (15-5). USC is now 9-7 all-time vs Arizona at Galen, snapping a 6-loss streak and giving Enfield his first win over Tommy Lloyd. SC’s win over No. 5 Arizona was its first ever win over a top 5 team at Galen, and SC’s first over a top 5 team since defeating No. 4 UCLA in Westwood in 2008. Don’t look now, but the Trojans are on their first 3-game win streak of the season.

SC is the No. 9 seed in the Pac-12 tournament and faces No. 8 seed UW on Wednesday at 12 pm on Pac-12 Network.


Fight On! Beat the Huskies!

Recruiting My in-depth interview with Julian Lewis and his father about strength of USC commitment and reason for spring visits

I think there's a lot to analyze in here. Like I said, I think he ends up at USC. I certainly don't dismiss Georgia in this, but I think Riley closes the deal here ultimately.

My Notes on SC’s 81-73 win over ASU

ASU was founded in 1885 as the Territorial Normal School of Tempe. 20 acres of cow pasture donated by Tempe residents George & Martha Wilson, allowed for 33 students to meet in a 4-classroom building, the first institution of higher education in AZ. In the 1920s the Alumni Association led political efforts to rename the Normal School and advance to a more robust teachers college curriculum. In 1923 admission requirements were raised to a high school diploma. The Tempe State Teachers College established in 1925 boasted 41 faculty and 672 students, by 1929 the Arizona State Teacher's College offered a 4-yr year curriculum leading to the Bachelor of Education. Arizona State College at Tempe dropped the teacher's college appellation in 1945. In 1958 the governor signed an executive order creating Arizona State University.

Today ASU has 1532 Acres (662 in Tempe), enrollment of 135,729 (77,881 on campus, 57,848 digital), $1.47 Billion endowment, USN&WR No. 105 public school, WSJ No. 72

Famous alumni include Original Tonight Show host Steve Allen, Jimmy Kimmel, Nick Nolte, 11X Grammy winner Linda Ronstadt, David Spade, Lynda Carter, Al Michaels, Alabama AD Greg Byrne, Diamondbacks pres. Derrick Hall, StockTwits founder Howard Lindzon, Under Armour co-founder Ryan Wood, AZ Governor Katie Hobbs & former govs Doug Ducey, Jane Dee Hull, Evan Mecham, Golfer Phil Mickelson, Barry Bonds, Reggie Jackson, Sal Bando, Rick Monday, Andre Ethier, NFL HOF’ers Curly Culp, Mike Haynes, John Henry Johnson, Randall McDaniel, Charley Taylor.

ASU Athletics: 24 NCAA championships: Men - 5 baseball, 2 golf, T&F, indoor T&F, gymnastics, wrestling; Women - 8 golf, 2 softball, 2 indoor T&F, women’s T&F; 179 Olympians – 25 Gold medals, 12 Silver, 23 Bronze

Colors - Maroon & Gold, nickname Sun Devils (since 1946, was Bulldogs (Arizona St Teacher’s College) and Owls (Tempe Normal School), Mascot – Sparky, Fight Songs – Maroon & Gold, and Go, Go Sun Devils.

Basketball started 1911 (1466-1305, .529), 3 Elite Eights (last 1975), 5 Sweet Sixteens, 17 NCAA appearances, 4 WAC & 4 BIAA conference championships, 2 AP All-Americans - James Harden, Ike Diogu. Harden’s No. 13 jersey is retired, honored jerseys (still available): 5- Eddie House, Ike Diogu, 11 – Byron Scott, 12 – Fat Lever, 32 - Joe Caldwell, 33 – Lionel Hollins, 53 – Alton Lister), 38 NBA draft picks (9 1st round - Caldwell, Hollins, Lister, Scott, Mario Bennett, Diogu, Harden, Josh Christopher)

Winningest coaches: Ned Wulk 406-272, .599, Herb Sendek 159-137, .537, Bobby Hurley 154-126, .550

Current Bobby Hurley – 9th season, 3 NCAA appearances, previous Buffalo Bulls (MAC) 42-20, .677, 1 NCAA appearance

Currently: 14-15 (8-10) - W: Texas Southern, UMass Lowell, Vandy, Sam Houston St, USF, SMU, Stanford, Cal, Utah, Colorado, USC, Utah, OSU, WSU; L: Miss St, BYU, USD, TCU, Northwestern, UW 2, UCLA, Oregon, OSU, Stanford, Cal, Colorado, Arizona 2

All-time: USC leads 63-43, .590 (ASU won last game)

ASU NET 126, KenPom 115, SC NET 96, KenPom 94

ASU Scores: 70.1 ppg (-3.6), 41.9% FG, 30.8% 3FG, 7.0 3’s/g, 66.0% FT. Rebounds 33.5 pg (-7.6), Assists 12.2 pg, TOs 10.4 pg (+3.2), Steals 8.2 pg, Blks 3.7 pg

ASU Leaders:

Scoring: Frankie Collins 13.8 ppg (42.3% FG, 30.6% 3FG, 58.1% FT), Jose Perez 13.1 ppg (42.4% FG, 41.5% 3FG, 72.2% FT), Adam Miller 12.1 ppg (40.9% FG, 33.0% 3FG, 83.6% FT), Jamiya Neal 11.5 ppg (41.9% FG, 27.8% 3FG, 68.3% FT)

Rebounding: Neal 5.5 rpg, Collins 4.6; Assists - Collins 3.3 apg, Perez 2.7; Steals – Collins 2.7 stpg (Pac No. 1), Blks – Alonzo Gaffney 1.2 (Pac No. 5)

SC scores: 74.4 ppg (-0.4), 45.1% FG, 35.2% 3FG, 7.6 3’s/g, 68.6% FT, Rebs 34.4 rpg (-2.0), Assists 15.6 apg, TOs 12.5 pg (+0.8), 14.4 ppg/TO, Steals 7.2, Blks 5.2 (Pac No. 1)

SC Leaders

Scoring: Collier 17.0 ppg (49.6% FG, 32.9% 3FG, 66.9% FT), Boogie 16.6 ppg (42.6% FG, 41.0% 3FG, 2.9 3’s/g (Pac No. 1), 72.2% FT), Kobe 10.2 ppg (38.4% FG, 28.8% 3FG, 69.8% FT)

Rebounds: DJ 5.0 pg, Kobe 4.4, Vince 4.0, Assists – Collier 4.1 apg (Pac No. 6), Kobe 3.3; Steals Kobe 2.1 (Pac No. 2), Blks – Josh 2.3 (Pac No. 1)

Pregame

No Crash today, he is among a busload of students at the women’s Pac-12 tournament game in Las Vegas.

There was a pretty low turnout at the Founder’s Room, were they also in Vegas or just discouraged by this season? Jay Morris must’ve drawn the short straw and he is in a rush to get out of there, so his update was short and his Q&A period shorter.

He says the season hasn’t turned out the way anyone wanted, but the adage says you want to be playing your best basketball at the end of the season and they feel they finally are. He says they should be on a 5-game win streak but let a couple of wins slip away. They lost the game at ASU because they had 22 TOs and they have worked hard on trying to correct that, by playing 5 vs 6 or 7 defenders to make it tougher on the offense than it should be in the game and by reviewing film of their TOs.

Someone asks about Hornery, he says Harry is one of their best shooters, but unfortunately when he gets into games he doesn’t shoot very well, but he has a good feeling about Harry tonight. He tells the room “Fight On”, and is done – I timed the whole appearance at 4.5 minutes.

A late arriving crowd will build to an announced 6841 attendees. Among the crowd courtside is Lebron James, rockin’ SC gear and “U N” ballcap and his wife Savanah, his high school sweetheart from rival schools in Akron, OH. NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year CJ Stroud (Houston Texans via Ohio State and Rancho Cucamonga HS) is here. Emmy-nominated actress, producer, and current SC student Storm Reid is here with her mother. Missing from his usual spot is incoming FR PG Trent Perry, who is trying to lead Harvard-Westlake to a CIF Open Division state title over Salesian on Saturday, after defeating Carlsbad and Roosevelt.

The Game

The starting lineup remains Boogie, Kobe, Josh, DJ, Collier. Arrinten Page is out sick and Kijani has been relegated to the end of the bench. Despite denials from the coaches, could they be forcing him into the portal after this season?

The tip is controlled by SC, but ASU’s Frankie Collins gets the first bucket. Boogie hits a 3 to give SC the 3-2 lead. He would score 8 of SC’s first 13 pts. It would be back and forth with ASU making 11-23 FGs (47.8%) but only two 3s and SC making 10-27 FGs (37%) but six 3s (Boogie-2, Kobe-2, Oziyah, Collier). SC took its largest lead of 9 pts 18-9 at 12:46 but was outscored by ASU 23-13 to trail 32-31 with 42 secs remaining. Collier’s FT tied it 32-32 as the first half ended.

SC outrebounded ASU 18-12 in the half a good sign for a weak rebounding team. However, it came against the worst rebounding margin team in the conference as ASU gets outrebounded by an average 7.6 rebs/g.

Second Half

ASU continued to shoot a high percentage from the field (52% on 13-25) but a dismal 1-8 on 3-pt attempts (12.5%). SC shot even better 12-21 (57.1% FG) and made 7-11 3FGs (63.6%). The long-distance shooting was really the difference in the game as SC was 12-24 (50%) and ASU 3-16 (18.8%), a difference of 27 pts!

ASU led only once in the second half 51-49 at 11:45, but that lead lasted only 16 secs, before Boogie’s 3-ptr put SC up by 1. SC led by 7 (75-68) after Collier hit 2 FTs at 2:29. DJ Malski inexplicably told everyone to get on their feet and started a ‘We Are - SC chant’. I yelled from my seats across the arena, “No! Stop! It’s too early for that!” That’s all we needed – was to think that the game was in the bag, given our penchant for blowing leads. I’m glad our team didn’t listen and kept playing, stretching the lead to 11 at 81-70 with 30 secs remaining and held on for the 81-73 victory.

For the game:

ASU shot 50% FG (24-48), 18.8% 3FG (3-16), 73.3% FT (22-30)

SC shot 45.8% FG (22-48), 50% 3FG (12-24), 83.3% FT (25-30)

For ASU, Jose Perez had his way on the inside, scoring 25 pts on 7-12 FG & 11-11 FTs. He was most responsible for ASU’s 32-14 pts in the paint advantage. Adam Miller had 18 and leading scorer Frankie Collins was held to 11 pts on just 6 shot attempts, though he did maintain his sizeable conference lead with 4 steals.

SC led in 2nd chance pts 13-7, fastbreak pts 18-13 and bench pts 11-7. SC won the reb battle 32-22 but had 14 TOs to only 6 for ASU. Nine players played at least 9 mins, 7 scored, but Bronny and Hornery were both 0-2 from the field, missing their only 3-pt attempts.

Boogie led with 28 pts, including 6-8 3FGs, his 5fth time this season with 28 or more and 10th of his career. His 218 3-ptrs at SC ties Brandon Granville for 5th in school history (Jonah Mathews 1st with 247).

Kobe was next with 15 pts, his most since 21 vs. Stanford on Jan. 6. He was 3-for-5 on 3’s and is 11-24 in his last 8 games (45.8% 3FG).

Collier had 5 assists for 100 total, just outside of the USC Freshman Top 10. Daniel Hackett (2007) ranks 10th with 103. Collier leads Pac-12 freshmen in scoring (17.0 ppg), FT made (4.0 pg), assists (4.1 pg) and steals (1.57 pg).

Josh had 8 rebs, most since Nov 19 (Brown - 9). He matched his career high with 6 FTs made (6-for-6). This, from a guy who was averaging 55.3% on FTs.

SC goes to 13-17 (7-12) and ASU falls to 14-16 (8-11). Enfield’s 218th win at SC moves him behind Forrest Twogood (251) and Sam Barry (260) on the all-time wins list. We currently project as the 11th seed in the conference tournament, but with a win over No. 5 AZ Saturday at 7pm (ESPN), may be able to move up a spot or two, depending on the outcomes of other games.

Fight On! Beat the Wildcats!
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